Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 19.751941 22.795876 26.081930 29.884282 34.153707 38.790285 44.197074
2025-10-05 15.507998 19.952271 25.195793 31.793913 39.825878 49.234341 61.033015
2025-10-12 12.926433 18.110719 24.662180 33.444742 44.791717 58.828491 77.358919
2025-10-19 10.714963 16.165708 23.471863 33.801841 47.820775 65.948279 90.882446
2025-10-26 9.028204 14.559961 22.374191 33.950232 50.340834 72.348471 103.682111
2025-11-02 7.563599 12.992542 21.047969 33.506396 51.840525 77.305198 114.690013
2025-11-09 6.361612 11.608074 19.763916 32.895483 52.920565 81.605713 124.901357
2025-11-16 5.362693 10.376260 18.527064 32.161246 53.658462 85.346981 134.409756
2025-11-23 4.441303 9.118865 17.072569 30.889288 53.397237 87.508632 141.630685
2025-11-30 4.072747 8.778187 17.075919 31.933443 56.771944 95.245331 157.465318
2025-12-07 3.755189 8.479891 17.105469 32.997304 60.215770 103.237053 174.047763
2025-12-14 3.243807 7.723033 16.225818 32.397657 60.845710 106.818128 183.950906
2025-12-21 2.722266 6.887454 15.153027 31.446233 60.973291 109.871566 193.656755
2025-12-28 2.602620 6.894211 15.698476 33.519614 66.528658 122.176589 218.989831
2026-01-04 2.454074 6.810775 16.052680 35.260656 71.615657 133.988245 244.129051
2026-01-11 2.192382 6.415889 15.719923 35.636671 74.247033 141.780185 262.995353
2026-01-18 1.946129 6.008936 15.303844 35.792348 76.457496 148.937898 281.110274
2026-01-25 1.686214 5.512546 14.622794 35.327934 77.437350 153.960745 295.785114
2026-02-01 1.450852 5.028919 13.899682 34.688551 78.005621 158.244285 309.339064
2026-02-08 1.240898 4.566903 13.157848 33.919987 78.236589 161.892345 321.902321
2026-02-15 1.031516 4.053294 12.211944 32.588291 77.205647 163.119016 330.154337
2026-02-22 0.966269 3.971333 12.332540 33.681510 81.231385 174.005828 356.336910
2026-03-01 0.906906 3.895560 12.458485 34.795126 85.366117 185.287200 383.694330